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出版社:HarperCollins Publishers
出版日期:2002-12
ISBN:9780060008802
作者:John Cassidy
页数:384页

书籍目录

prologuechapter 1 From memex to world wide webchapter 2 popular capitalismchapter 3 information superhighwaychapter 4 netscapechapter 5 the stock marketchapter 6 ipochapter 7 yahoo!chapter 8 battle for the’netchapter 9 irrational exuberancechapter 10 amazon.cornchapter 11 the new economychapter 12 a media bubblechapter 13 greenspan’S green lightchapter 14 euphoriachapter 15 queen of the’netchapter 16 trading nationchapter 17 web dreamschapter 18 warning signschapter 19 the Fed stHkeschapter 20 crashchapter 21 dead dotcomsepiloguenotesappendixindex

作者简介

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John Cassidy’s Dot.con is the most sweeping and definitive assessment published thus far of the stock market mania that swept this country in the late 1990s. Cassidy, who covers economics and finance for The New Yorker, finds many seeds for the boom: Vannevar Bush’s “memex” machine, the “intellectual forerunner of the World Wide Web”; increasing popularity of 401(k)s and IRAs, which introduced millions of Americans to the equity markets, giving rise to a “stock market culture"; and the attention and hype in the late '80s and early '90s surrounding the “information superhighway” promoted by the likes of Al Gore, Newt Gingrich, and Nicholas Negroponte. When Netscape went public in 1995, the Internet mania began a five-year run that was fueled in part by the media, the policies promoted by Alan Greenspan and the Federal Reserve, the rise of day trading, and the deluge of IPOs brought to market by firms such as Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch and their analyst cheerleaders Mary Meeker and Henry Blodget. For anyone who got caught up in the mania and foundered in its eventual crash, Dot.con is a bittersweet trip down memory lane that Cassidy captures just perfectly. Highly recommended.
                            --Harry C. Edwards

From Publishers Weekly

This book's epigraph, "Ever get the feeling you've been cheated?" (by Johnny Rotten), perfectly sets the tone for what follows. Cassidy certainly knows he was cheated by the collapse of Internet stocks, and here he sets out to discover who's to blame. His search includes a history of the stock market (starting in ancient Rome) and finds that most buying manias and speculative bubbles were encouraged by unscrupulous financial professionals. He traces the Internet to Vannevar Bush's work during World War II. Its developers "tended to be young men with long greasy hair, thick glasses, and an obsessive interest in science fiction," who were held in contempt by the rest of the world. But Cassidy, an economics writer at the New Yorker, goes beyond these usual suspects of stock brokers and computer geeks. He devotes two chapters to criticizing Alan Greenspan for making "frequent references to the benefits of new technology," among other things. The author indicts many additional public figures, journalists, analysts, authors and businesspeople by name and finds them guilty. Despite the sensational charges, there is little new here. It's hard to believe that anyone will be shocked to learn that most Internet companies and day traders lost money or that venture capitalists, investment bankers and stock analysts made large fees promoting stocks without subjecting the companies in question to critical scrutiny. Cassidy does not even deliver an entertaining rant. Most of the pages are uninspired chronicles of well-known events. Agents, Andrew Wylie and Jeffrey Posternak. (Feb.)Forecast: The large number of people who lost money in Internet stocks will be predisposed to accept this book's premise. The fair-minded ones will want a better analysis; the angry ones will want more dirt or passion.


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精彩书评 (总计2条)

  •     电子版的确实比较方便,并同时推荐pdf xchange这个软件,可以在上面直接做笔记分享基金、股票、房地产、英语、心理学读书笔记,附送电子书详见shop60666385.taobao.com/http://www.docin.com/Bill0506http://www.douban.com/photos/album/31998251/QQ 417996348
  •     【非理性的繁荣】一般情况下,低市盈率年份之后的收益率要高,而高市盈率年份之后的收益率则低甚或是负数。 □在低市盈率的时候入市,高市盈率出市建议长期投资者在进行个人投资时应该“牛市出熊市进”,比如现在正值故事高涨,就不是投资的好时机。 当股息偏低时,便不是投资的好时机,历史事实证明了这种判断是简明而聪明的。 □股息水平反馈理论的一个最流行的说法是建立在适应性预期的基础上的:发生反馈是由于过去的价格增长产生了对价格进一步增长的预期;反馈理论的另一种说法认为:发生反馈是由于过去的价格增长使投资者信心增加。通常认为这种反馈主要是对价格持续增长模式的反应,而不是对价格突然增长的反应。 □预期的增长也许会超过实际能实现的增长,所以,需要鉴别哪些增长是真实的,可以持续的;哪些是被哄抬的。投资者对股票的需求也不可能永远扩大,当这种需求停止时,价格增长也会停止。根据预期反馈理论的流行说法,在需求停止时,我们就会看到股市的下降,即泡沫的破灭,因为投资者认为股市不会继续上涨,因此没有理由继续持股。然而,反馈理论的其他说法并没有提及泡沫的破灭,因为他们没有对持续增长价格作出预测。 □需求决定论负泡沫 □对市场不看好的预期反馈环性质的变化才是崩盘的原因,而不是崩盘是公布的工作新闻报道。 真正理性的话,需要对宏观经济增长的长期预期持续关注。 □关注市场长期基本面投资者总是努力去做正确的事情,但是无法把握自己行为的准确性时,有限的能力和特定的行为模式就会决定他们的行为。 人们往往寻找一些简单的原因来作为决策的理由,并因此导致了决策的偏向。 □人们总是因为一个简单的理由就作出重大的决定。收益增长和价格增长的联系一点也不紧密。 □

精彩短评 (总计1条)

  •       【非理性的繁荣】
      一般情况下,低市盈率年份之后的收益率要高,而高市盈率年份之后的收益率则低甚或是负数。 □在低市盈率的时候入市,高市盈率出市
      建议长期投资者在进行个人投资时应该“牛市出熊市进”,比如现在正值故事高涨,就不是投资的好时机。
      当股息偏低时,便不是投资的好时机,历史事实证明了这种判断是简明而聪明的。 □股息水平
      反馈理论的一个最流行的说法是建立在适应性预期的基础上的:
      发生反馈是由于过去的价格增长产生了对价格进一步增长的预期;
      反馈理论的另一种说法认为:
      发生反馈是由于过去的价格增长使投资者信心增加。
      通常认为这种反馈主要是对价格持续增长模式的反应,而不是对价格突然增长的反应。 □预期的增长也许会超过实际能实现的增长,所以,
      需要鉴别哪些增长是真实的,可以持续的;哪些是被哄抬的。
      投资者对股票的需求也不可能永远扩大,当这种需求停止时,价格增长也会停止。
      根据预期反馈理论的流行说法,在需求停止时,我们就会看到股市的下降,即泡沫的破灭,因为投资者认为股市不会继续上涨,因此没有理由继续持股。然而,反馈理论的其他说法并没有提及泡沫的破灭,因为他们没有对持续增长价格作出预测。 □需求决定论
      负泡沫 □对市场不看好的预期
      反馈环性质的变化才是崩盘的原因,而不是崩盘是公布的工作新闻报道。
      真正理性的话,需要对宏观经济增长的长期预期持续关注。 □关注市场长期基本面
      投资者总是努力去做正确的事情,但是无法把握自己行为的准确性时,有限的能力和特定的行为模式就会决定他们的行为。
      人们往往寻找一些简单的原因来作为决策的理由,并因此导致了决策的偏向。 □人们总是因为一个简单的理由就作出重大的决定。
      收益增长和价格增长的联系一点也不紧密。 □
      
      
      
 

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